Tuesday 26 February 2013

Super-Nanex saves the day

UPDATE: Flash crash of 2010 solved by Super Nanex
and friends (see below)

where business journalists fear to tread.
when your stock market has a problem with HFT
shenanigans, who do ya call?

Super-Nanex
it's the strobe light with the curly hair around it.

Anyway, his daily crusade on Twitter to tell us
about front-running, quote stuffing and cliff-
diving stocks is providing the evidence for
the big trial which will happen in
2000-&-NEVER!

Anyway, it's better than being an embedded
CNN or Fox journalist, pontificating from 
the stock floor, because it involves an 
inordinate amount of Hide the Sausage, 
and Hide the Crime.


This is the piece of text Nanex found in an innocuous
report that proved the beginning of the cascade of
share prices that WAS BROUGHT ON BY HFT
ALGORITHMS, OUT OF HUMAN CONTROL!
THE FLASH CRASH WAS MACHINE-DRIVEN!
the rest can be found here, with a link to Nanex:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-27/flash-crash-mystery-solved


read 'em: Nanex 
~ 14-Dec-2012 ~ Quote Stuffing Bombshell
Background
In June 2010, while analyzing the Flash Crash, we noticed that many stocks had extremely high rates of canceled orders (1000+ per stock, per second). We then looked at data back to 2004 and found hundreds of thousands of examples: the first beginning in July 2007, which not coincidentally is when High Frequency Trading (HFT) began exploiting the flaws of Reg. NMS. In our first published report on the Flash Crash, we came up with a term to describe this anomaly and coined Quote Stuffing. Two years later, we created the animation Rise of the Machines  to chronicle the growth of this phenomenon.
That summer, Zero Hedge (Durden), USA Today (Krantz), CNBC (Pisani), Reuters (Lash), Barrons (McTague), the Wall Street Journal (Strausberg & Lauricella), the New York Times (Bowley), the Atlantic (Madigral), Risk Magazine (Wood), Bloomberg (Mehta) Bloomberg Magazine (Foroohar) and others investigated Quote Stuffing and asked the regulators (Trading and Markets Division at SEC) and the exchanges about it. The regulators and exchanges vehemently denied that Quote Stuffing existed and that we (Nanex) were conspiracy theorists. We have had many discussions with reporters who told us privately the language used was far from tame. And we are not even listing the reporters or news organizations that passed on writing a story because of what they were told by the regulators.
More recently, in October 2012, at a meeting between the SEC's Trading and Markets Division and major players from the Institutional buy-side, an SEC spokesperson besmirched Nanex's reputation with the same party line: that our research and findings were the stuff of conspiracy theory. So it is not surprising that respected and established media reporters who work closely with the street, and talk to them daily as colleagues, may have found our theories and graphics "out there". It is not surprising that quote stuffing and "bad algos" would be hard to believe and buy into unless you worked with market data every day.
Credit Suisse Bombshell
Now comes along this paper (see below) from Credit Suisse, one of the global leaders in electronic trading and research. This paper describes Quote Stuffing as a strategy employed by HFT. Note that the term Quote Stuffing did not exist until we coined it in June 2010. Credit Suisse's paper shows how easy it is to detect. And that is true, it is that simple to spot and it continues to occur. Which is why the last 2 years have been confusing and frustrating to no end.
Conclusion
With abundant evidence to the contrary, why would SEC Regulators deny that Quote Stuffing exists and that our analyses are "the stuff of conspiracy theories"? We are not about to engage in conspiracy theory talk now by saying someone is being paid or compensated to shill for HFT/Wall Street and putting the reputation and authority of the regulators at risk.
Here are a few possibilities:
    The regulators don't wish to acknowledge that the playground they created has been taken over and exploited.
    They don't want to acknowledge their role as enablers.
    They have been working too closely with industry insiders in creating this playground, and now rely on the foxes for advice on how to safeguard the hen-house.
    Lobbyists hired by HFT firms and exchanges are very good at their job.
Of course we do not know the answer. Our hope is to arm the media to get at the truth; we can only examine the data. Perhaps it is time for the media to dig up their notes and follow up with more questions.