Tuesday 28 August 2012

Jubilee and private debt


would  you rather that working people be bailed out,
or banks?

Well, we've got two economists and their perspectives.
you decide
Paul Krugman vs Steve Keen
1 Ritholz
The “Central Banks’ Central Bank” Slams the Federal Reserve
By Washingtons Blog - July 17th, 2012, 1:30AM
World’s Most Prestigious Financial Agency – Called the “Central Banks’ Central Bank” – Slams U.S. Economic Policy
The central banks’ central bank, the Bank of International Settlements or “BIS” – which is the world’s most prestigious mainstream financial body – has slammed the policy of America’s economic leaders.
This is especially dramatic given that the banks own the Federal Reserve, and that the Federal Reserve and other central banks – in turn – own BIS. In other words, BIS is criticizing one of its main owners.
Economics professor Michael Hudson notes:
    Paul Krugman has urged the Federal Reserve to simply lend banks an amount equal to their bad loans and negative equity (debts in excess of the market price of assets). He urges a “Keynesian” program of spending to re-inflate the economy back to bubble levels. This is the liberal answer: to throw money at the problem, without seeking structural reform.
... As the Telegraph noted reported in 2008:
    Nor does it exonerate the watchdogs. “How could such a huge shadow banking system emerge without provoking clear statements of official concern?”
        “Should governments feel it necessary to take direct actions to alleviate debt burdens, it is crucial that they understand one thing beforehand. If asset prices are unrealistically high, they must fall. If savings rates are unrealistically low, they must rise. If debts cannot be serviced, they must be written off.
***[PRIVATE debt OR BANKS’?]

2 zerohedge
Steve Keen On Why Debt Matters "All The Time" And The Need For "Quantitative Easing For The Public"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/07/2012 18:26 -0400
Following his somewhat epic blog debate with Paul Krugman, Steve Keen appears on Capital Account with Lauren Lyster to debunk more Keynesian propaganda and the kleptocratic status quo 'debt doesn't matter' arguments. Poking holes in the stable/exogenous shock equilibrium 'model' versus the real-world's dynamic systems, the Aussie economist warms up with the zero-interest rate conundrum and liquidity trap (at around 7:00); moves on to the empirical falseness of the debt-to-unemployment relationship (at around 11:00) - implying 'debt matters all the time' as Keen explains common-sensibly (but not Neoclassically) that the 'change in debt adds to demand' and that involves banks which breaks modern economic theory (since lending is credit creation not savings transfer).
Echoing the deleveraging from the Great Depression, it could take 15 years of unwinding this epic debt bubble before its all over - but not if the status quo of deficit spending is maintained - as Keen somewhat controversially concludes (at around 13:00) "you can't just cure this with deficit spending [since debt is already beyond the black-hole's 'event horizon'], you have to abolish the private debt as well" by "quantitative easing for the public".
Student loan debt and delinquency is also discussed and its self-referential ponzi-like nature (at around 16:00)...
Keen discusses his controversial idea of a debt-jubilee and the Debt Black Hole 'event horizon' that we are already in at around 19:00... (and notably at 24:30 he discusses how to avoid the 'moral-hazard' of a modern debt-jubilee with no 'advantage' to being in debt)
At around 20:30, Keen relates the drop in bankruptcies to the low interest rate environment warning that this will just lead to an endless zombie state like Japan...
Lie-borgate is discussed at around 21:00 with his view being that the outright fraud confirms his feeling that these bankers are behaving like a parasite on the host of the economy...